POBNEWS24, International Desk, Jul 7.2021: The heads of Western security intelligence agencies are quite concerned. They have good reason to be concerned.
The decision by President Joe Biden to rush the remaining Western troops out of Afghanistan this month has emboldened the Taliban insurgents.
In recent days, Taliban forces in Afghanistan have been taking control of one district after another. Disillusioned government troops are either fleeing their bases or surrendering. These bases are now occupied by the Taliban. Observers say a return to international terrorism is looming in Afghanistan.
Dr Sajan Gohel, a security and terrorism analyst, told reporters “The Biden administration’s decision to withdraw troops from Afghanistan has made the return of the Taliban inevitable. It has given al Qaeda the opportunity to reorganize its network. Will be able to. “
The scale of militant operations is increasing
Of all the predictions that are being made about Afghanistan, this is probably the most negative. But two things are definitely going to happen. First, the Taliban, who ruled Afghanistan harshly from 1996 to 2001, are about to return in one form or another.
The Taliban have so far said they have no intention of occupying Kabul by force. But across a large part of Afghanistan, the Taliban have already established themselves as a powerful force. And the demand that they want to establish an Islamic Emirate in Afghanistan according to their strict religious discipline has never been ruled out.
Second, al-Qaeda and its rival Islamic State in Khorasan Province (IS-KP) are waiting for the opportunity to figure out how to take advantage of the new situation after Western troops leave Afghanistan.
Al Qaeda and Islamic State are already in Afghanistan. Afghanistan is a very mountainous and friendly country. There are many inaccessible areas where internationally banned groups can easily hide.
So far, however, Afghanistan’s security agency, the NDS, has been able to deal with the threat in cooperation with special forces from the United States and other countries.
Attacks or bombings are still happening in Afghanistan. However, there have been several instances where Afghan and Western special forces have been able to take swift action, following information from a follower or a cell phone conversation overheard. We rarely know about such a failed attack in public.
Western forces from various bases inside Afghanistan could have responded to the situation in a matter of minutes, often by helicopter. Suddenly in the middle of the night they could catch the enemy.
But these campaigns are coming to an end now.
‘Threats to Britain are on the rise’
The Taliban has made it clear this week that if any Western troops remain in Afghanistan after 9/11, even those guarding Kabul airport or the US embassy, they would consider it a violation of the Doha Accords. Under the agreement, all Western troops are due to leave Afghanistan by September 11th.
The Taliban has threatened to attack the remaining foreign forces.
This week, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is scheduled to chair a meeting of the government’s top-secret National Security Council, or NSC.
The meeting will focus on the security arrangements to be made after leaving Afghanistan. Sir Alex Younger, the former head of the Secret Intelligence Service, told Sky News: “If the West abandons Afghanistan, the threat of terrorism for Britain will increase.” But for Britain it is both a crisis.
But in a large, sprawling country like Afghanistan, where the regime is virtually non-existent, there is no guarantee that any future Taliban government will be able to suppress al Qaeda. Al Qaeda could easily establish itself in remote valleys and villages.
Because al-Qaeda and the Islamic State group এদের both of them are actually better organized in a chaotic, unstable situation. And as much as there are indications from Afghanistan, it means they are going to have such an environment.
