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Home Analysis

BNP is now seeking to establish new relations with India due to the war in the Middle East

Prof,Dr.Arif khan

pobnews24 by pobnews24
April 5, 2026
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POBNEWS24, Dhaka Apr 5, 2026 : Bnp is now, new to make relationship with india in government with the intention of negotiations because of current geopolitical situation of middleeast war, Ukraine and Russia crisis of fuel , tarrif war, American bilateral pressure…
But their internal manifest mindset is still same like 2001, India-america backed bnp that time to supply gas from Bangladesh to India, USA would get contract and India would supply…
But in reality bnp took side of usa-pakistan front and supplied weapons to ulfa…
Even this time, bnp is trying to learn india’s loop wholes and weaknesses, because bnp knows their dependency on USA is more than anyone else , specially military control ,state machineries, political opponents negotiations, and public control…that’s why bnp knows that their will be conflict of interest to choose between USA and India…and bnp have to choose USA that time…so bnp is taking preparations how and when they can let down India safely in diplomatic strategic stage by using india’s weaknesses, so that India will have to cope with that betrayal doing nothing against bnp…
A very dependent political government is dangerous, because they have to give leverage to whom they can choose among foreign hegemonies and betray the others…they have to give leverage to state machineries and other police groups, specially bnp has came from anti india political platform, and their political support system, publicity and public manded based on that…so they can not go against all these…specially when military regime top control is in jamat mindset officials, judicial , secretariates, ministries employees are still in jamat ncp and bnp shared portfolio…
Last election was engineered by deep state backed military and Indian diplomats…but real voter turn out was around 20-25% , which was even cleared by DGFI hidden reports and Ellection commission reports controversies of 244% Referendum vote casts…
So this kind of heavily dependent political government can choose a lot of one sided bias decisions, to survive their government in the long run negotiating with their chosen hegemony power country, state machineries, government administration (because without public manded they have to depend on state machineries), political parties ( hidden negotiated partners or opponents)…and it will be accepted in international stage as a simble of bold sovereign decision, in the ground politics as anti powerful neighbour patriotism…their decisions will be acceptable more than even yunus because of their previous political land mark, ground political pillars qnd present artificially created sentiments like inside job of staged killing of hadi and after 5th august snyper killing by their hired snyper killers…
But a truely elected government with more than 50% real vote bank political government (AL) does not have these dependency like bnp…they can control state machineries corruption for having strong hold of public manded vote banks…they can choose best option of trade, bilateral relations , foreign policies and geopolitical decisions in the basis of profit merits , benifit for county and security of the regional peace, harmony and stability..
Which would have brought regional cooperation and prosperity for all countries like Sheikh Hasina and AwamiLeague can do…
The Awami League did not want to deviate from the policy of non-alignment, which meant, to allow all countries depending on their competence for a balanced foreign policy and independent fiscal framework… That’s why they gave the construction contract of Payra port to Chinese, so that China can transfer their garments and bring investment in Garments sector to save money from relatively cheap labor cost from China by relocating chinese RMG into Bangladesh in Payra Port EPZ… it has refrained China from conspiracy against Bangladesh & it’s neighbours by using Bangladesh ground & borders as a proxy zone…
Construction of Matarbari project was awarded to JICA, to connect JICA’s investment hub from Matarbari Japanese EPZ of JICA production hub with JICA’s north east india 7 sisters production hub in Bangladesh to increase opportunities for more FDI and supply chain production investment…
That bnp will allow a circumstance, that will force all cultural , intellectual, think tank, and progressive groups have no other option but to take shelter under the umbrella of bnp and Portray that AwamiLeague is in existential crisis…then bnp will black mail india that India has no other option but to deal with bnp…take it or leave it…
In the meantime, America will try to instigate a proxy war in Bangladesh, to keep their hegemony survive, they will try to bring india and china into this war in Bangladesh…
So that Iran and Russia will get less trade support from india and China…in this tripartite war, everybody will kill their opponent…jamat will be killed,

To be continue..

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